Day 4 on “The Sacred Lawn”!
This year’s third Grand Slam tournament takes place at Wimbledon. Also for betting professional Dirk Raczkowski (34) from “Sports Betting No. 7” again a big event which he analyzes down to the last straw.
With his previous Wimbledon tips, however, he had some luck. Raczkowski: “Unfortunately, the start of the tournament was not very successful for us, so we will try to rectify that from today. Although WTA betting is historically much better for us than ATP betting, the women have not been very reliable in this tournament so far. Kalinina, for example, made fun of us twice in a row, which was bitter. In today’s three tips, we still share a women’s tip, but add two men’s tips. It starts at 2 pm, if the weather holds. ”
Here are the three bets for Thursday!
2nd combination Sorribes Tormo + Cheeky
Raczkowski: “Although France’s Tan has just defeated Serena Williams, it was not really a big surprise as Serena’s poor condition and running weaknesses are well known. Incidentally, Tan did not do so well at times, so we do not overestimate this victory. Since we have bet Tan several times this year, we can generally rate them quite well.
Today we assume that she will smash against the Spanish ball wall (Sorribes Tormo is practically the worst defender on the tour), because in terms of both fitness and consistency she actually has to pull the short straw against Sorribes Tormo.
In addition, there is the double drama about Tamara Korpatsch with the German public accusers. Anyone who has heard the subject knows that it can also be a mental strain for Tan. ”
Naughty vs Schmiedlova
Raczkowski: Frech stands 29:17 on grass all his career. Although there were some minor battles, it’s a good rate. Recently, she played some great games; at the French Open against Kerber, most recently on grass against Haddad Maia or in the first round of Wimbledon against Giorgi, where Frech won 2-0.
Schmiedlova is 7-15 on grass his entire career, a huge difference compared to Frech. In the first round, she defeated Peterson 7-5 0-6 6-3. The Swede has not played a match for over a month and had to deal with a few minor injuries, so this victory does not matter much. She is and will be a weak grass player, as she showed in the first round despite her victory. In the end, she came up with absurd 70 unforced errors (with only 18 winners), so you can’t actually win a match on the WTA Tour.
Since Frech on the one hand defends himself really well and on the other hand only makes a few small mistakes himself, we think that the showdown against Schmiedlova is really good. The Slovak is just so prone to make mistakes that she should sooner or later sabotage herself against Frech’s style of play. One has to remain very stable against the Pole, and that is exactly what Schmiedlova usually lacks.
Overall quality of grass, current form, significantly better performance in the first round and match-up speak for Frech here, which is why we expect a victory from her.
Recommendation: 2 combo victory Sorribes Tormo + victory Frech for 2.14
” data-zoom-src=”https://bilder.bild.de/fotos/dirk-raczkowski-lebt-von-seinen-einnahmen-aus-sportwetten-und-dem-verkauf-seiner-tipps-im-internet-43c72108af974a1bbe3d522c69edcfa3-80557824/Bild/2.bild.jpg”/> Dirk Raczkowski makes a living from his income from sports betting and selling his tips on the internetPhoto: Photo: Michael Kreft
Dirk Raczkowski makes a living from his income from sports betting and selling his tips on the internetPhoto: Photo: Michael Kreft
Raczkowski: “If we had gotten those odds in the first round, we would have been surprised at the start. Because Bonzi was in much, much better shape than Brooksby recently. Brooksby’s 3-0 win over Kukushkin, which was pretty pathetic that day, changes not so much in our opinion, mainly because Bonzi also won 3-0 in the first round and did not even allow a single breakball.
Bonzi is 6-2 on grass so far this year and his two losses come from two games against Tsitsipas. In addition, his six wins were all clean sheets, making us even more optimistic about this small handicap. The Frenchman has made a really good impression on us lately, both on serve and in games. He is currently in the best phase of his career and the trend is clearly upward.
Brooksby is 2-3 on grass so far this season, and his two wins over De Jong and Kukushkin came against two non-ATP players. On the other hand, he lost to Gaston, Draper and Krajinovic. They are a lot better, but probably not at the level that Bonzi played most of the time lately. If anything, it’s just Draper – and Brooksby lost very clearly against him with 2: 6 2: 6.
Brooksby has a pretty specific style of play. He just plays a lot back and tries to extend the rallies and eventually force mistakes. Especially on grass, where many players win points quickly, an approach that requires a little getting used to. Brooksby actually gets way too few free points for grass tennis, especially with its own serve. He has to work hard for most points, which is not desirable on grass. As long as his opponents are unstable and make enough mistakes, that’s fine, but as soon as the first more consistent player arrives, the style of play can quickly become difficult. And that is precisely the case today, for Bonzi has been extremely consistent lately. The Frenchman will be the actor in most rallies and Brooksby only the respondent. Since Bonzi has recently produced significantly more winners than unforced errors and also radiated a lot of calm, we believe that Bonzi in his current form could dominate the match here.
Given the last few weeks and the way the two are playing, we see Bonzi a little further ahead than the odds suggest. The handicap is very humane for a best-of-five match, mostly because Brooksby does not earn as well. “All in all, we see good chances that the Frenchman can win by a difference of at least three matches.”
Recommendation: Bonzi -2.5 games – at odds of 2.00. The bet wins if Bonzi wins at least three more games.
Cressy — Sok
Raczkowski: “Two similar types of players – also both Americans – meet here. Both grown very tall, nice serve, good forehand, lots of serve & volley on grass, good volleyball on the net.
Sock is the better player with the more dangerous forehand, Cressy on the other hand is more limited overall, plays almost only slice on the backhand and runs to the net on every occasion. But he knows this extremely well, which makes it very uncomfortable for many of his opponents.
Sock is the much more experienced one who has played from round to round without losing a set since qualifying, Cressy was recently more active and successful on the ATP Tour, so he is currently the hottest player. All in all, Cressy should have a small advantage of this, but not so much that he should go through here without winning a set.
Given the two playing abilities, we expect at least one, maybe even two tie-breaks, and there it’s always a matter of luck who wins. We see realistic chances that both players will win at least one set, and due to the showdown we assume that there will be no set with a double break lead and that four sets would be enough to cover 41.5- the line. “
Recommendation: Over 41.5 games – at odds of 1.91. The bet wins if there are more than 41 games in total in the match.
bet: 6 (1 won, 5 lost)
Result: -4.03 units
With a unit bet per. effort and a value of 50 euros per. unit, this results in a loss of 201.50 euros.
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